TC
TerrAscend Corp. (TSNDF)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 net revenue was $74.4M (+0.3% QoQ) and gross margin expanded 140 bps to 50.2%; Adjusted EBITDA rose to $15.1M (20.3% margin), marking the tenth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow and sixth of positive free cash flow .
- GAAP net loss widened to $30.2M due to a non‑cash impairment of $45.4M in Michigan; excluding this, Adjusted EBITDA improved QoQ, reflecting gross margin expansion and lower G&A .
- Management guided Q1 2025 revenue down low-to-mid single digits (seasonality), gross margin ~50%, and FY2025 CapEx ~$10M; they also expect ≥$10M OpEx reductions in 2025 and plan to accelerate the $10M buyback post‑blackout, with debt maturities extended to late 2028 .
- Growth catalysts: New Jersey leadership with potential acquisition of up to 7 social‑equity stores, Maryland capacity expansion with wholesale momentum, and optionality from Pennsylvania adult‑use prospects; disciplined M&A in Ohio at lower multiples is expected to add scale .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Maintained #1 market share in New Jersey every quarter of 2024, with top‑3 brand positions across categories and all three Apothecarium stores ranked top‑10 by units sold in Q4 .
- Maryland delivered sequential revenue growth in all four quarters of 2024 and expanded gross margin from ~25% (2023 exit) to over 50% in Q4; wholesale and retail both grew sequentially in Q4 (+18% and +7%, respectively) .
- Operating discipline: G&A fell $3.6M QoQ in Q4 (SBC down $2.3M; $1.3M OpEx cuts), with late‑2024 ERP implementation enabling ≥$10M OpEx reduction in 2025; adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 20.3% .
Quote: “The business performed ahead of our expectations in the fourth quarter… achieving our tenth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow and sixth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow” — Jason Wild, Executive Chairman .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP net loss widened to $30.2M in Q4 due to a $45.4M non‑cash impairment in Michigan, highlighting lingering market and asset challenges in that state .
- Full‑year net revenue declined 3.3% YoY to $306.7M and gross margin fell to 48.9% (from 50.3%), reflecting price compression in New Jersey and Pennsylvania and retail competition in New Jersey .
- Q3-to-Q4 retail softness remained, with CFO noting retail revenue down 2.5% sequentially in Q4; wholesale was +6.1% sequentially, but overall mix shifts can pressure margins and earnings if retail declines persist .
Financial Results
Notes:
- Q4 GAAP net loss includes a non‑cash impairment of $45.4M, primarily Michigan .
- Q4 sequential dynamics: retail revenue down 2.5% QoQ; wholesale up 6.1% QoQ .
- Estimates comparison: S&P Global Wall Street consensus was unavailable at the time of analysis; therefore, beat/miss vs estimates cannot be determined.
Segment/KPI Highlights:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “For 2024, we generated $307 million in revenue, $61 million in Adjusted EBITDA… $38 million in positive operating cash flow, and $29 million in free cash flow… achieving our tenth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow and sixth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow.” — Jason Wild .
- “Looking ahead into the first quarter of 2025, we expect revenue to be down low to mid‑single digits due to seasonality, gross margin to remain around 50% and further G&A expense reduction… we expect CapEx spending for 2025 to be approximately $10 million.” — Keith Stauffer .
- “We believe that TerrAscend's targeted approach has put us in a differentiated position to invest in the best geographies and assets at attractive valuations… We expect to close on [Ohio] transaction in the coming weeks.” — Jason Wild .
- “We have increased our [Maryland] market share position from #13… to #6… we are now just 1.9 points away from #2… expanding cultivation capacity by an additional 50% by investing in four additional grow rooms.” — Ziad Ghanem .
Q&A Highlights
- M&A valuations and pace: Private valuations have reset lower (esp. Ohio); TerrAscend will be disciplined and favors structures with seller notes/earn‑outs; expects multiple attractive opportunities in NJ and OH .
- Maryland competitive impact: New store openings likely benefit TerrAscend wholesale given many are non‑vertical/social‑equity operators; retail footprint is diversified geographically .
- New Jersey verticality vs wholesale: Capacity expansion in Boonton supports both wholesale growth and increased verticality as acquisitions close; management will optimize mix dynamically .
- Pennsylvania retail M&A: Dispensary pricing still high due to lack of license caps; company prefers medical multiples ahead of adult‑use clarity; wholesale optionality is significant and capacity already built .
- Buyback: Management believes equity is undervalued vs real estate value and intends to implement buyback aggressively after blackout .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates (EPS, revenue, EBITDA, target price, recommendation) were unavailable at time of analysis due to access limitations. As a result, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Street for Q4 2024 or provide consensus trajectories. If you’d like, we can re‑query later and update the recap once access is restored.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin resilience and cash generation: Gross margin expanded to 50.2% and Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 20.3%, with continued positive operating/free cash flow—supporting deleveraging and buybacks even amid retail headwinds .
- Non‑cash impairment masks operating progress: The $45.4M impairment in Michigan drove GAAP loss; underlying margin expansion and cost cuts signal improving core profitability into 2025 .
- New Jersey remains the anchor: #1 market share across categories and potential to add up to seven social‑equity stores could lift verticality, margins, and cash flow—expect incremental capacity to support growth .
- Maryland momentum: Wholesale and retail both growing; capacity additions (four rooms) should sustain margin >50% and push share toward top‑2 in 2025 .
- Pennsylvania optionality: Adult‑use legislation is a major upside catalyst; existing capacity equals combined output of other states and requires no additional CapEx .
- Disciplined Ohio entry: Lower multiples and earn‑outs expected; integration synergies leveraging Michigan SG&A can improve Midwest profitability .
- Near‑term trading set‑ups: Watch for buyback resumption post‑blackout, Ohio deal close, NJ retail M&A announcements, and PA bill progress—each is a potential stock‑moving catalyst .